The New-Look Conservative GOP

August 27th, 2010 at 11:37 am | 28 Comments |

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As widely reported, polls are now showing Republicans trusted across a broad span of issues.  Indeed Republicans now lead on many of these broad issues, including healthcare, the economy and education, which is unheard of.  Republican primaries are hotly contested and many establishment figures are toppling like ten pins.  Utah will not have Senator Bennett to kick around anymore.  Further, Lisa Murkowski, appointed to her seat by her father, lost to a decorated veteran of the Gulf War.  Some are upset with this.

It is though largely a positive development.  While I mourn the loss of Bill McCollum who is a good man and would have made a fine governor, Republicans will likely hold that office.  Florida Republicans elected a conservative, young and articulate Cuban-American to be their standard bearer.  He won more primary votes than any Republican in Florida history.  He is facing a programmatic liberal and shape shifting mountebank.  Does any Republican watching Charlie Crist in the last six months think he would be better for Florida and the Republican Party than Marco Rubio?  Is he more truthful?  Is he principled? Does he make decisions, like, oh say, Senate appointments, with the public weal rather than personal considerations, paramount?  Does he look like the future of the Republican Party?

In Alaska, an abortion supporting, liberalish Republican, who owes her position to nepotism, was apparently beaten by Joe Miller.  Who is Miller?  He is a graduate of both West Point and Yale.  He was awarded a bronze star in the first Gulf War.  He was a magistrate judge and is a member of the Federalist Society, and obviously has the academic and personal background ideal for a place on the Judiciary Committee.  Sarah Palin endorsed him and recorded telephone calls for him.  Like it or not this is a key sign of her power against the ossified old Alaska Republican guard who she has shellacked again and again. He, not Murkowski, is the better candidate for Alaska Republicans.  Miller was not handed a Senate seat by his daddy.  He showed himself to be a much more skilled politician than the younger Murkowski.  He shrewdly read the public mood and capitalized on it.  Why would Republicans be better served by a weak sister Republican who could not get the votes of a party her daddy owned for thirty years?  He will likely win and the Senate will move to the right where it desperately needs to be.

I’m heartened by John McCain’s win for two reasons.  First, he is a genuine American hero and J.D. Hayworth is a bit of a blowhard and a fraud on spending.  Whatever their positions, John McCain is the better man.  Moreover, he had to move right and stop attacking Republicans to win.  Another victory for a Palin-backed maverick!

As for the results from some earlier primaries, there is no reason to believe that Mike Lee who beat Senator Bennett will not get elected or that he won’t represent a conservative voice for Utah. In Colorado, Ken Buck is a Princeton graduate and a former Justice Department lawyer.  Once again the candidate is not some uneducated wild man, Keith Olbermann and the like would have you believe the Tea Party is made of.

Other complaints have emerged over the election of Sharon Angle and Rand Paul.  They are not my favorites, but they bring a small government, populist, brand to the Republican Party in a time when the big government solutions of both the Left and Right have soured.  Do we think a Republican Party that freezes all such voices out of its ranks will be stronger nationwide?  Rand Paul is leading in Kentucky and Angle now must be judged to have a slight lead over the Majority Leader of the Senate in Nevada.   Once again, these are states that are Republican leaning.  The rule for such states ought to be “elect the most rightward viable candidate.”  There was no better year for Republican voters to take a risk than this one.  There is less a chance of losing a seat given the year’s dynamic.

There have been a host of posts here in the last few days that Republican support among the Vietnamese, Cubans, and other minorities is slipping.  There is all kind of concern that the Republican Party is not pro-immigration, pro-gay or pro-minority enough to survive in the future electorate.  This is precisely wrong.  The Republican Party this year is running more black Republicans with a chance to win than it has in memory and the RNC still has a black chairman.  As pointed out, in Florida a Hispanic is running for Senate, and in Nevada, sharing the ticket with Sharon Angle and running ahead of her against Harry Reid’s son for governor is another Hispanic.  My predictions in the past have not turned out too badly.   Though there are glitches.

So here is my end of summer prediction: In the mid-term elections this year the GOP, tea party-fueled and all, will get as high, or a higher percentage of the Hispanic, Asian and black vote than in any mid-year election since 1994.  The percentage of that vote overall will be lower than any mid-year election since 2002.  Finally, the Senate will lose as many or more Democrats than it did in 1994 (when the Democrats lost 8 seats).

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28 Comments so far ↓

  • Polaris

    A delusional post

  • forgetn

    No offense Vecchione, but the Republican are more trusted than the Democrats for saying they will roll back the clock to the Bush years! Was that really a successful strategy? Its not so much that people like the Republican it seems that they dislike the Democrats even more.

    The real problem with winning the mid terms is that it will set up the Republican to fail in 2012, because the problems int he U.S. are structural, cutting taxes will no do anything for the economy. It will not create new demand when everyone is cutting back. It would have been far better for the Republicans to be able to “disown” the entire Obama term, then to be responsible for the the second half. You can bet the democrats will use this against the Republican on November 4th…

    A witch hunt will be instituted against all things Obama, someone is certain to bring the Birther issue to the floor of congress, investigation will ensue and this will reflect poorly on the Republican’s “governing” message.

    BTW you sound as if the Tea Party is a good thing for the country and the Conservative cause. The tea party is a storm in a tea cup, nothing else

  • TerryF98

    There are so many outright falsehoods in this piece that it should just get a ‘pants on fire” label at the get go. Are you proud of your ability to lie straight faced?

  • dondraper

    TerryF98, what are the falsehoods in this article? You made that claim but did not give any examples to back it up.

  • dugfromthearth

    “Moreover, he had to move right and stop attacking Republicans to win. Another victory for a Palin-backed maverick” So McCain’s winning his primary by going strongly negative and denying he was ever a maverick is being reported here as a win for a maverick who stopped attacking Republicans. I don’t think “spin” is strong enough to describe reporting the opposite of what happened.

  • armstp

    John McCain is a shell of a man. He did not need to do a 180 degree turn to win. What a complete sell-out! A complete scumbag.

  • TerryF98

    “Further, Lisa Murkowski, appointed to her seat by her father, lost to a decorated veteran of the Gulf War. Some are upset with this.”

    He is one lie. The contest is not decided, there are 6000 ballots still to count. No one has won as yet. So to say she has lost already is untrue.

    Can’t be bothered to school you through the rest, if you can’t spot them on your own you will likely not believe they are lies anyway.

  • Fairy Hardcastle

    Most of the comments above are so full of inaccuracies it’s laughable. Talk about getting your bias on.

    Good post. We will see what the people think about the new faces of the GOP come November, and if those faces are welcome, I wonder where the Frums of the world will find a home?

  • Rabiner

    Fairy:

    If there are so many inaccuracies, why don’t you point them out or is this another one of the ‘Catholic Church says it is so, so it is so’ inaccuracies?

  • DeepSouthPopulist

    Good riddance to Murkowski.

    Anyone who thinks the GOP needs more Murkowskis and fewer Millers/Pauls/Angles, you have a party waiting for you right now — just cross the aisle and don’t let the door hit your you know what on the way out.

  • forgetn

    Fairy & DSP:

    Love you guys — probably the only people on earth who cannot see further than then end of their noses. The Tea Party nut jobs Paul/Angle will do irreparable harm to the conservative cause, their profound stupidity, proud ignorance and bigotry will take years to repair.

    You may think that it is brilliant to “talk to yourself”, the problem is when the rest of the country stops and listens — and then discovers that the Republicans which represent them in Congress are crazy loons is going to cause them to vote for the other guy — whoever he/she may be.

    As for Miller he’s a largely unknown quantity — but to put him in the same basket as Angle and Paul is an insult to West Point and Yale.

  • dondraper

    TerryF98 said:
    “He is one lie. The contest is not decided, there are 6000 ballots still to count. No one has won as yet. So to say she has lost already is untrue”

    That is only one example and not necessarily a lie. It would be more than reasonable to assume that the writer of this article projects Joe Miller to be the winner and the remaining ballots will not be enough to change the outcome as it stands now. Elections are frequently called without having all the ballots counted. You may question whether or not it is wise to call it when it is this close of a race, but it is not exactly fair to classify it as a lie. Also, in the article, the writer states that Lisa Murkowski was “apparently beaten by Joe Miller”, the key word here is “apparently”. Therefore, what you cited as an example of a lie is not a lie.

    However, if this was what you saw as a lie, why would you then not just point this out in your original post? Instead you made a post referring to “many outright falsehoods”. If this was what you considered to be an “outright falsehood”, you would not only be factually incorrect, but you would be reacting in a very over the top and unreasonable manner.

    So, TerryF98, I ask you again, what in this article did you view to be outright falsehoods?

  • DeepSouthPopulist

    forgetn: “The Tea Party nut jobs Paul/Angle will do irreparable harm to the conservative cause, their profound stupidity, proud ignorance and bigotry will take years to repair.”

    That’s an assumption. We don’t know what will happen. Far fewer people perceive them as stupid, ignorant and bigoted outside of the world of Left kookery.

    “As for Miller he’s a largely unknown quantity — but to put him in the same basket as Angle and Paul is an insult to West Point and Yale.”

    Rand Paul is a licensed eye surgeon with an MD. That makes him more accomplished than most Democrat Senators.

  • CentristNYer

    Every one of these “new look” conservatives sounds an awful lot like the last batch: Massive tax cuts for the richest Americans that aren’t paid for. Drill, baby, drill. Doubling down on Afghanistan. Global warming skepticism. More God, less of that elitist science thing.

    Can anyone tell me where these “new” conservatives want to take the country that the old ones didn’t?

  • DeepSouthPopulist

    The winning strategy for GOP candidates in 2010/2012:

    1) Ignore the press, and ignore pundits like David Frum. If they’re attacking you, you’re doing it right.
    2) Link the democrat opponent to Obama over and over and over again.
    3) Pound Obamacare
    4) Pound Obama’s lies (no tax increases for anyone making under 250K, ect.)
    5) Pound illegal immigration
    6) Pound the mosque
    7) Pound whatever local issues are important.

  • TerryF98

    This sounds like a pretty 100% certain statement of fact from the author, it’s a lie. No one has called this race. No one will until the 6000 outstanding ballots are counted. I don’t care a toss who wins the primary but I do like truth.

    Did Al Franken win his seat before the election was officially called for him, of course not.

    Further, Lisa Murkowski, appointed to her seat by her father, lost to a decorated veteran of the Gulf War. Some are upset with this.

  • dondraper

    TerryF98 said:
    “This sounds like a pretty 100% certain statement of fact from the author, it’s a lie. No one has called this race. No one will until the 6000 outstanding ballots are counted. I don’t care a toss who wins the primary but I do like truth.”

    The author of this article “apparently” has called the race for Joe Miller. If you felt so strongly about this, though, why did you not mention it in your original post? It would have been very simple for you to bring this to the author and everyone else’s attention then. Instead you made the claim that the article contained “many outright falsehoods”. What are these “many outright falsehoods” that you speak of that caused you to make your original post? As I have already proven, the only example you have given would not warrant your initial response from a reasonable person.

  • quanta

    DSP:

    8 ) Offer new ideas and policies?

  • DeepSouthPopulist

    quanta: “8 ) Offer new ideas and policies?”

    They need the presidency to implement any very radical or new ideas because whatever they come up, even if they manage to get it through Congress, will likely get vetoed.

  • ktward

    This ‘New-Look Conservative GOP’ is a dead ringer for the ‘Old-News RR/Nativist SoCons’. Go figure.

    The Republican Party this year is running more black Republicans with a chance to win than it has in memory and the RNC still has a black chairman.

    - Steele is the GOP’s ace in the hole?
    - Speaking of black Republican candidates … here in IL, I’m reminded of Alan Keyes. (Yes, Virginia, issues and policy trump ethnicity.)
    - Oh, and while Vecchione indulges his Palin-luvin’ self, let’s remind him that black Republicans aren’t much impressed by her. (Understatement?)

    This piece is some seriously weak spin.

  • TerryF98

    As I said before Don draper, I am not going to educate you as you would not accept my evidence anyway.

    And I did state exactly the point that you make in your response. This guy is a liar, he has lied here in the past and will lie here in the future.

    You are so partisan that you will not accept any criticism of right wing nonsense. I am not going to waste my time trying to get past your ideological bias.

  • easton

    You want lies, ok, one: Rasmussen again. They have a built in Conservative bias, and is the only poll Conservatives cite. How about a cross section of polls instead of looking for the one that satisfies your own bias? In Alaska Murkowski screwed up, she ignored Miller sitting on a ton of cash because her own polls showed her winning easily, if she spent some of that money on getting her own supporters to the polls, she would have won. You can’t coast to victory.
    As to Bennett, he did not lose in any Primary he lost because a handful of elites at a convention abandoned him. Stop with the BS of the will of the people, there wasn’t any. And yes, Rubio won a ton of votes, but he ran essentially uncontested, so it is a stupid kind of bragging, if Crist did run in the primary against him (and lost) would that have been evidence that Rubio didn’t have enough support? Of course not.

    And Angle is nuts. You can vote for a strong Conservative without voting for a nut. There are many, many strong Conservatives who are not nuts. My own brother is a strong Conservative, he ain’t nuts. Rand Paul ain’t nuts, but I don’t think he is a right fit for Kentucky, Idaho maybe.
    Smoking weed in College, making fun of religion by fake worshipping “Aqua Buddha” has got to hurt, especially since he ain’t ever testifying about how he is born again. In any event, he is likely to be a loose cannon foreign policy wise and a detriment to National Security, at least according to how most Republicans define it.

    Yeah, I agree this article is really weak. The economy sucks, if Sarah Palin had spent the past year on Borneo the Republicans would be in the same position they are today.

  • dondraper

    TerryF98 said:
    “As I said before Don draper, I am not going to educate you as you would not accept my evidence anyway. ”

    TerryF98, if you are not willing to present any valid evidence for your point or even explain specifically what your point is referring to, then why post at all? I really do not need you to even provide evidence, all you need to do is clarify what you believe to be lies. There was absolutely no point for you to even make your post if you are not willing to do this.

    Why do you think you would need to educate me? I just am interested in knowing if you had an actual reason behind your post.

    TerryF98 said:
    “You are so partisan that you will not accept any criticism of right wing nonsense. I am not going to waste my time trying to get past your ideological bias.”

    What makes you think that I am partisan or have a right wing bias? TerryF98, I will accept your criticism. That is what I am asking you to do, I am asking you to provide your criticism. So far all you did was make a post that was insulting but did not include any reason to warrant the insults. I am interested to know what your criticism is.

  • jjv

    TerryF98:

    When I wrote this post and now Joe Miller has the most votes in the Alaska election. Usually, in such a state race, the person with the most votes must be called the winner. If he later has less votes he will not be the winner. If the word “apparent” winner would make you happier fine. To call it a “lie” to call the guy with the most votes the winner is very strange.

    Also, to the extent I’m wrong I can be called on it. You will note I have made a bold and counterintutive (from your perspective view). One aspect of science is to make a hypothesis, base a prediction on it, and see whether the outcome provides a datapoint for or against that hypothosis. Why don’t you post your predictions on the Senate gain/loss of the Democrats or the percentage of the minority vote you think Republicans will get? Its hard to do and it lays down a marker against which ones views can be tested. Or you can just call me a liar for calling the guy who won the most votes in the state of Alaska the winner of the race.

  • phesoge

    Some of you make Rand Paul out to be some moron. He is graduate of Baylor University, and Duke Medical school. He is an intelligent person. To disagree with his policies is one thing, but to call him stupid is jsut plain ignorant on your part. In the end the real fight with in the Republican party will be between the David Frums, i.e the men and women who want endless war because they are delusional and think Tel Aviv is the capitol of the United States or are Evangelical nut jobs who want to be on the right side of “biblical prophecies, and those who realize our bloated foreign policy is currently unsustainable, the IRaq war was an utter failure, Afghanistan is disastrous and the only way to truly limit government is to reign in all spending, including the Department of Defense because truly war is the health of the state.

    David Frums mission for the GOP to become this part of Moderates isn’t going to work. Bush was a moderate. All the way through and through. All he did was spend an insane amount of money on Domestic failures and over seas adventures.

  • anniemargret

    phesoge: I read Lew Rockwell everyday. I’m a liberal Democrat. I actually find some of their views approachable. I respect Dr. Paul. I think he was absolutely correct about our involvement in Middle East wars. However, I cannot fully agree with some of his anti-all-government stances – they’re are too xtreme to me.

    But you are correct, that he is both an intelligent man and a gentleman, which is sorely lacking in today’s political arena.

    I’ve even debated Lew Rockwell himself, but we sometimes agree and sometimes disagree. But I like his site overall, even though as a rock-solid liberal, I find some of their views antithetical to mine.

    Bush, in an effort to out-do his Dad, allowed the neocon philosophy to seep into his consciousness. He was the perfect tool for their aims. He was a folksy kind of guy, appealing to most Americans, but elitist in background. They used his folksy demeanor to get Americans on board with their dreams of democratizing the Middle East under some type of Pax Americana rule.

    I totally agree with you that while Republicans scream about spending, they resist any cuts in defense, even it’s it bloat and unnecessary. Instead we’ve got soldiers coming back from these wars not given adequate healthcare or mental help for themselves and their families. Truly a sorry issue – one that all Americans should be loudly protesting.

  • Rabiner

    Phesoge:

    I don’t think Rand Paul is stupid. I do think he is naive however by the policies he supports and how he explains his reasoning.

    His position regarding government’s role in society is naive to the extreme. Private business will self-regulate? Please, business will never self regulate as that causes a decrease in profits. He disagrees with parts of the Civil Rights Act of 1964 based on the infringement of private property but opposes the Mosque being built in NYC? I guess it’s okay to him to segregate (even if he disagrees with discrimination) but not to infringe of people going through a legal process to build a house of worship.

    I can agree with his foreign policy to a degree but not to the extremes he takes it. Every ideology taken to the extreme goes too far be it conservative, liberal, socialist, communist, fascist, or libertarian. Each becomes destructive since extremism is destructive in nature.

    Regarding the two sides of the Republican Party that you bring up: Neo-cons and Social Conservatives. Shouldn’t there be a third option which would fall more in line with George Herbert Walker Bush? Socially more moderate, not extreme isolationist, more interested in environmental policies and so forth? I’m not saying that is the ideal since he was president 22 years ago but something more along those lines? Or perhaps a Lincoln Chaffee?