Entries Tagged as '2012 primary'

The Expectations Game

David Frum January 4th, 2012 at 7:57 am 118 Comments

Byron York has a tough read on the meaning of the Iowa result for Romney.

In the end, Romney escaped humiliation, and he did it at far less cost than in 2007-2008, when he gave Iowa everything he had in his first run for the GOP nomination. “If you look back four years ago, we had 52 paid staff in Iowa, and this time around, we have five paid staff,” top Romney adviser Eric Fehrnstrom said a few hours before Tuesday night’s results came in.  “In terms of advertising, we spent $10 million in the run-up to the caucuses four years ago, and we’ve spent a fraction of that this time.  And in terms of the candidate’s own appearances in Iowa, he was here 100 days or so four years ago, and this time we’re at about 15 days.”  [It was actually a few more, but that doesn't change Fehrnstrom's point.]

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Will Rick Perry Ever Quit?

December 19th, 2011 at 9:23 am 10 Comments

Jay Root at the Texas Tribune came out with a huge scoop this past week regarding the personal finances of Texas Governor Rick Perry.

Apparently, Perry has technically retired as a Texas state employee and has started receiving pension payments. This has garnered quite a bit of criticism for various reasons, including the fact that Rick Perry is still the Governor of Texas.

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Admit it, it Could be Newt

November 11th, 2011 at 8:04 am 102 Comments

I note with smug satisfaction the growing buzz for Newt Gingrich.

For months now, I’ve felt like the Prophet Jeremiah, prophesying destruction to people who won’t listen or believe me. Yes, Newt has a staggering number of very ugly skeletons in his closet. Yes, his campaign stumbled badly out of the gate. But everything that’s happened since then has only helped him.

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The Coming Herman Cain Culture War

David Frum November 1st, 2011 at 3:52 pm 156 Comments

It’s only a matter of time before the Herman Cain sexual harassment settlement is unsealed. The exact nature of the charges against Cain will be revealed. They will most likely turn out to be very ambiguous: banter, innuendo, etc.

At that point, here’s what will happen:

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It WILL be Romney

September 26th, 2011 at 12:07 pm 117 Comments

Rick Perry’s propensity for gaffes, poor straw poll performance, and lackluster debating skills are already forcing many people who thought he would surely be the Republican nominee to reconsider. They’re right to have second thoughts, yet while Michele Bachmann, Herman Cain, and even Jon Huntsman may go on to win some primaries, none have a real chance of becoming the nominee either.

This leaves only one person standing: Mitt Romney. Whatever ups and downs take place for the Romney and Perry campaigns, it’s pretty obvious what will happen: Romney will prevail.

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Romney’s Dangerous Windfall

September 26th, 2011 at 8:11 am 33 Comments

Rick Perry seems to be reeling after his debate performance in Florida last week. It’s early yet to see anything in public polling, but his subsequent flop in the Florida straw poll into which he had invested significant money and energy is causing serious concern for his campaign. However, before Romney gets too excited about Perry’s dilemma he should take a closer look at the cause.

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Huntsman: The Truer Conservative

September 7th, 2011 at 1:02 am 31 Comments

Here’s a brief biography of two candidates:

One of them presided over arguably the best business climate in the nation, so good that Forbes magazine ranked it as the best state for business and careers. As governor, he enacted free-market health care reforms, balanced the budget, and thus far is the most public advocate of the Ryan plan to reduce long-term entitlement spending.

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Preventing Another Palin Disaster

David Frum August 17th, 2011 at 7:13 pm 185 Comments

In my column for The Week I discuss the lessons that Republicans must learn for 2012 and beyond, so they don’t repeat the same mistakes they made with Sarah Palin:

The people who promoted and celebrated the Palin pick have disavowed — or at least abandoned — their former enthusiasm. They no longer accuse those who objected to the pick of “elitism” or “snobbishness” or “misogyny.” It’s now considered very bad form among Republicans even to remember what the people said and wrote about Palin three years ago.

But before the episode is consigned to forgetfulness, there are some lessons to be learned of urgent value for 2012 and beyond.

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Rick Perry’s Shrewd Move

August 16th, 2011 at 4:00 pm 32 Comments

Texas Governor Rick Perry may have just made a very shrewd move.  No, I’m not talking about declaring himself to be a candidate for president on the same day of the Iowa Straw Poll.  I’m talking about this:

John Sharp, the former Texas comptroller who was student body president at Texas A&M in the early 1970s, is in line to head the entire 11-university A&M System.  Sharp, 61, won approval Monday from the A&M Board of Regents as the sole finalist to become A&M System chancellor.  Under state law, the appointment becomes final in 21 days.

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Perry’s Money Machine

August 10th, 2011 at 1:18 am 38 Comments

Zac Morgan wrote a great piece here at FrumForum where he described how Texas Governor Rick Perry is in a unique position to unite different factions of the GOP.  Morgan described Perry as the “Teastablishment” candidate.  While much of the attention has focused on Perry’s Tea Party and religious conservative strengths, I’d like to discuss the establishment side of his political capital, namely his ability to access a key financial pillar of the GOP donor base – wealthy Texas Republicans.

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