Comments on: Prediction Time http://www.frumforum.com/prediction-time Building a conservatism that can win again Sat, 11 Feb 2012 17:50:44 +0000 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.9.2 hourly 1 By: balconesfault http://www.frumforum.com/prediction-time/comment-page-1#comment-70750 balconesfault Tue, 03 Nov 2009 15:16:01 +0000 http://www.frumforum.com/?p=14776#comment-70750 <b>or just having dead citizens vote</b> I'm surprised you didn't yell ACORN! Then again, left wing conspiracy enthusiasts could point out that we still don't have the source code from Sequoia Voting Systems (though they last week agreed to release the source code next year) ... leaving one more election in the hands of large corporations to tally the results. or just having dead citizens vote

I’m surprised you didn’t yell ACORN!

Then again, left wing conspiracy enthusiasts could point out that we still don’t have the source code from Sequoia Voting Systems (though they last week agreed to release the source code next year) … leaving one more election in the hands of large corporations to tally the results.

]]> By: sinz54 http://www.frumforum.com/prediction-time/comment-page-1#comment-70741 sinz54 Tue, 03 Nov 2009 14:13:58 +0000 http://www.frumforum.com/?p=14776#comment-70741 The betting on Intrade on the NJ race has shifted in the last couple of days. Previously, it was as high as 70% for Corzine to win. Now it's down to roughly 50%, reflecting the closeness of the race there now. Christie would have a decent chance--except that NJ matches Chicago when it comes to voter fraud. If Corzine's men can finagle the race by targeting minority precincts with a flood of absentee ballots over the past two weeks (or just having dead citizens vote), he still might be able to pull it out. The betting on Intrade on the NJ race has shifted in the last couple of days. Previously, it was as high as 70% for Corzine to win. Now it’s down to roughly 50%, reflecting the closeness of the race there now.

Christie would have a decent chance–except that NJ matches Chicago when it comes to voter fraud. If Corzine’s men can finagle the race by targeting minority precincts with a flood of absentee ballots over the past two weeks (or just having dead citizens vote), he still might be able to pull it out.

]]> By: DFL http://www.frumforum.com/prediction-time/comment-page-1#comment-70622 DFL Mon, 02 Nov 2009 15:00:51 +0000 http://www.frumforum.com/?p=14776#comment-70622 Picking McDonnell to win is too easy. I predict he will disappoint all those Northern Virginians who think that McDonnell can fix the sprawl-hell which is Northern Virginia. Until Northern Virginia severly restricts building and development, no amount of roadbuilding will resolve the traffic mess there. Hoffman and Christie will win. Harner out in the San Francisco suburbs will lose. Homesexual marriage in Maine will lose. Picking McDonnell to win is too easy. I predict he will disappoint all those Northern Virginians who think that McDonnell can fix the sprawl-hell which is Northern Virginia. Until Northern Virginia severly restricts building and development, no amount of roadbuilding will resolve the traffic mess there.

Hoffman and Christie will win. Harner out in the San Francisco suburbs will lose. Homesexual marriage in Maine will lose.

]]> By: balconesfault http://www.frumforum.com/prediction-time/comment-page-1#comment-70605 balconesfault Mon, 02 Nov 2009 13:16:06 +0000 http://www.frumforum.com/?p=14776#comment-70605 <b>Think about it: if Scozzafava can’t even deliver the vote of her own spokesman, how is she going to sway the district?</b> Scozzafava pulling out has already meant the labor endorsement for Owens (Scozzafava's husband is president of the local Central Labor Council of the AFL-CIO, and labor unions had stayed neutral up to this weekend). Given that everyone for whom the labor endorsement was a negative would already have been committed to vote for Hoffman, that will only be a positive for Owens. Think about it: if Scozzafava can’t even deliver the vote of her own spokesman, how is she going to sway the district?

Scozzafava pulling out has already meant the labor endorsement for Owens (Scozzafava’s husband is president of the local Central Labor Council of the AFL-CIO, and labor unions had stayed neutral up to this weekend).

Given that everyone for whom the labor endorsement was a negative would already have been committed to vote for Hoffman, that will only be a positive for Owens.

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