Election Results Round-Up:
- Chris Christie wins NJ gubernatorial race, 49% to Jon Corzine’s 45%.
- Bob McDonnell defeats Craig Deeds in VA gubernatorial race, 59% to 41%
- Bill Owens defeats Doug Hoffman in NY-23, 49%-45%.
- Maine’s same-sex law is repealed after the referendum to reject same-sex marriage is passed 53%-47%.
- Houston mayoral race to go to run-off. Annise Parker wins with a plurality of the votes. If elected, Parker will become the first openly gay mayor of major American city.
- Atlanta mayoral race to continue to run-off in Mid-December. Mary Norwood wins with 43% of the vote. If she wins the run-off, she’ll be the first white mayor of Atlanta in three decades.
- Michael Bloomberg wins New York City mayoral race by a much smaller margin than expected.
Posted at 2:46 am
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NYT Blooper: I just clicked on a New York Times link titled ‘A Year After Dousing, Republicans’ Hope Rekindled’. The result? A story titled ‘Conservative Loses Upstate Race in Blow to Right’. Late night for the NYT staff, huh?
Posted at 2:13 am
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NY-23: Madison, Oneida and Oswega counties, where Hoffman held a 23 point lead in Siena polling as recently as Sunday, was a huge disappointment for the Conservative candidate. On election night, Hoffman only won these three districts 49%-45%.
Jefferson County, Scozzafava’s home county, went 49%-46% for Owens.
Posted at 2:01 am
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NY-23: FoxNews’ Andrea Tantaros demonstrates her sagacity while commenting on NY-23:
“We learned that the Republican Party establishment in Washington is not losing its influence… We learned that Sarah Palin['s]… endorsement didn’t hurt Hoffman and didn’t help Scozzafava… we also learned that this is not the beginning of a GOP civil war.”
Um… what?!?
Posted at 1:48 am
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NY-23: Preliminary results indicate that the counties that Scozzafava represented as Assemblywoman went to Owens by nearly five points.
Owens won St. Lawrence, Lewis and Oswego counties 49.5% to Hoffman’s 45%.
Posted at 1:42 am
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WA: Although supporters of same-sex marriage in Maine have much to be gloomy about, supporters of same-sex rights in Washington state are looking eagerly at the slight lead they have in R.71, which would extend the rights of same-sex couples to “everything but marriage“.
Early results show the referendum passing 51-49.
Posted at 1:31 am
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Maine: AP, CBS and FOX have called the referendum on same-sex marriage in favor of the ‘Yes’ campaign. This means that Maine will repeal its same-sex marriage law.
Posted at 1:26 am
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NY-23: Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee Chairman gloats about Owens victory:
“This election represents a double-blow for National Republicans and their hopes of translating this summer’s ‘tea party’ energy into victories at the ballot box. Not only did eight extreme right-wing groups spend more than $1 million to drive the moderate Republican – and the NRCC’s chosen candidate – out of the race. Now, after losing a seat that was held by Republicans for nearly 120 years, they have to deal with an emboldened and well-funded far right-wing that refuses to tolerate moderate Republicans with differing opinions.”
Posted at 1:21 am
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WA: An initiative in Washington State to limit tax increases for state, city and county governments to the rate of inflation and population growth is floundering. With 48% of precincts reporting, Initiative 1033 was losing 55 percent to 45 percent.
Posted at 1:16 am
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NY-23: It may be 1AM, but the spin is going strong!
RedState: “This is a huge win for conservatives… I have said all along that the goal of activists must be to defeat Scozzafava. Doug Hoffman winning would just be gravy. A Hoffman win is not in the cards, but we did exactly what we set out to do — crush the establishment backed GOP candidate.”
Posted at 1:12 am
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Smithville, NY: In an odd election night story, a Smithville City councilman was re-elected without receiving a single vote. He didn’t even bother to vote for himself.
H/T Frum Forum contributor Alex Knepper.
Posted at 12:58 am
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Maine: With 86% of precincts reporting, it looks like the effort to repeal same-sex marriage will pull off a victory.
The proposal to reject same-sex marriage is currently leading 52-47.
Posted at 12:53 am
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First Family: While New Jersey and Virginia swung to the GOP, Michelle Obama took her daughters to a Miley Cyrus concert at the Verizon Center. Are they partyin’ in the U.S.A.?
Posted at 12:38 am
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Punditry: Ben Stein on CNN re: Tea Partiers – “A lot of them are nutty, and they have a lot of nutty ideas.”
Posted at 12:26 am
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NYC: Race between Bloomberg and Thompson in NYC much tighter than expected. Three days ago, a Quinnipiac University poll put Bloomberg up by 15%. Bloomberg would win by only 5 points.
Politico: Thompson ran up huge margins in black and Hispanic neighborhoods, winning by a 3-to-1 margin in some districts.
Posted at 12:16 am
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NY-23: CNN reports that Doug Hoffman has called Bill Owens to concede the race. Hoffman to address his supporters at campaign HQ – click here to watch.
Posted at 12:16 am
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Maine: The effort to repeal same-sex marriage winning 52-48, nearly 70% of precincts reporting.
Posted at 12:14 am
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NY-23: Did Limbaugh’s comments about Scozzafava and bestiality on the eve of E-Day become a factor in NY-23?
Posted at 12:11 am
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NY-23: Did Palin’s endorsement hurt Hoffman? Her favorable/unfavorables are poor among moderate Republicans in the district.
H/T Sam Stein
Posted at 12:09 am
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Atlanta: With 100% of precincts reporting, Atlanta mayoral race goes to Mary Norwood. With 43% of the vote, however, she will have to go to a run-off with Kasim Reed, who came in second with 38%. If Norwood wins, she’ll be the first white mayor of Atlanta in three decades.
Posted at 12:07 am
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Houston: Houston Chronicle calls mayoral race for Annise Parker. Parker will face Gene Locke in run-off in mid-December. If elected, Parker will become the first openly gay mayor of major American city. Houston is the fourth largest city in the country.
Posted at 11:59 pm
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NY-23: Fox News now calls the election for Owens.
Posted at 11:55 pm
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NY-23: Watertown Mayor Jeff Graham, who endorsed Hoffman over the weekend, says “We lost… it’s over.” In Jefferson County, where Graham is Mayor, Owens leads Hoffam 49-46 with all precincts but one reporting.
Posted at 11:54 pm
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Maine: A dramatic turn on the same-sex marriage referendum. With 69% of precincts reporting, the repeal of same-sex marriage is leading by 3.5%.
Yes (Repeal): 51.8%
No (Allow): 48.2%
Posted at 11:47 pm
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NY-23: Watch St. Lawrence county, where ballot machine issues have been reported. Owens up 55%-40% with half of precincts reporting.
Posted at 11:44 pm
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NY-23: MSNBC’s Chuck Todd predicts that no call will be made in Owens-Hoffman race tonight, citing 11,000 military absentee ballots yet to be counted.
Posted at 11:35 pm
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Houston: Annise Parker currently leads all opponents in her race to become the next mayor of Houston. With 79% of precincts reporting, Parker leads closest opponent by five points.
If elected, Parker will become the first openly gay mayor of major American city. Houston is the fourth largest city in the country. Far from a majority, the top two candidates will go to a run-off in mid-December.
Posted at 11:32 pm
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Obama’s influence in Governors’ Races?
VA: 24% in Virginia said they’d cast their vote in part to show opposition to Obama, 18% to support him.
NJ: 20% percent said they cast their vote in part to express support for the president, 19% to show opposition to him.
Posted at 11:28 pm
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NJ/VA: 55% of VA Voters, 60% of NJ voters say President Obama’s policies were not a factor in their vote.
Posted at 11:21 pm
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NY-23 – Clinton county, which includes Plattsburg, an area of strength for Democrats, can be called for Owens. With 69 of 70 precincts reporting, Owens leads 56%-40%.
Atlanta – Norwood leads challenger Reed 44%-38%, with 62% precincts reporting. If Norwood doesn’t reach majority, run-off will be necessary.
Posted at 11:04 pm
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NY-23 – Reason why Hoffman’s campaign HQ is demoralized: Hoffman leads Owens 55-43% in Syracuse counties (Oswega, Oneida, Madison).
Siena Poll had suggested Hoffman would take the three counties 51-28%.
Posted at 10:46 pm
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NY-23: Previously expected blowouts in Syracuse counties not borne out, Hoffman campaign headquarters silent. Hoffman still leads in Oswego, Oneida, Madison – but Siena polls showed a 51%-28% Hoffman leads on Sunday.
Posted at 10:36 pm
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NY-23: Owens trailing Hoffman significantly on early results in Oneiga, Oswega and Madison counties, all counties where neither have a natural constituency – the Syracuse region. The region had been heavily targeted with the millions in ad buys flowing into the region.
Oneiga: Hoffman 53%-40%
Oswega: Hoffman 51%-46%
Madison: Hoffman 49%-44%
Scozzafava: 5% of the vote.
Atlanta: Early results show Norwood leading – setting the stage for first white mayor in Atlanta since 1973, about 20% precincts reporting. Challenger Kasim Reed’s home area not yet counted, however.
Posted at 10:32 pm
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NY-23: nearly 20% precincts reporting, Owens up by 7 at 51%. Scozzafava still taking 5% of the votes.
NY-23: Voting machines in St. Lawrence County reported to be broken, may delay results. St. Lawrence was split down the middle between Owens and Hoffman in latest Siena poll.
NJ: MSNBC exit polls suggest Christie leading Corzine 2-1 among independents who voted. Demographics of independents vastly different – older, whiter.
Posted at 10:15 pm
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The New York Times reports that Michael Bloomberg has won his third term as Mayor of New York City.
Posted at 10:05 pm
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NY-23: Bill Owens takes a very, very early lead in NY-23. Six precincts reporting, five from Clinton county.
Virginia: Carville says on CNN that the VA electorate was “a lot older, and a lot whiter”, leading to a decisive loss for Deeds.
Politico follows up: “Network exit polls showed a starkly different electorate went to the polls in Virginia Tuesday than the one that elected President Barack Obama in 2008. The proportion of voters under 30 dropped from 21 percent in 2008 to 10 percent today. Just 15 percent of the Virginia electorate was black this year, compared with 20 percent last year.”
Posted at 9:56pm
Posted at 12:16 pm
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12 responses so far
1 johnmarzan // Nov 4, 2009 at 12:03 am
why all the focus on NY 23? NJ VA win not important enough? doesn’t fit the narrative of newmajority?
2 joemarier // Nov 4, 2009 at 12:13 am
John, it’s in the sidebar. They’re already called. Tim has been doing a great job covering them. There will be plenty tomorrow.
3 joemarier // Nov 4, 2009 at 12:14 am
Rather, Tim has been covering NY-23 as a Scozzafava non-endorser(?)
4 mthen // Nov 4, 2009 at 12:17 am
NMs candidate might just win in NY. Too bad their candidate lost in NJ.
5 johnmarzan // Nov 4, 2009 at 12:24 am
“NJ/VA: 55% of VA Voters, 60% of NJ voters say President Obama’s policies were not a factor in their vote.”
of course, those were the states obama won by 20% (deep blue NJ) and 7%(VA) in 2008. of course obama is not a factor.
6 the botnet // Nov 4, 2009 at 12:34 am
Hey, champions.
Not much going on over here…
Guess it isn’t really a “New Majority” after all.
Damned redirect.
End Global Warming™
Love,
the botnet
7 johnmarzan // Nov 4, 2009 at 12:47 am
you can put whatever poll you want, but if this were 2008 with the same candidates, democrats keep VA and NJ.
8 johnmarzan // Nov 4, 2009 at 12:51 am
in a way, the loss of doug hoffman is a good lesson for GOP and tea baggers. if GOP and tea party doesn’t unite and republicans continue to deal with multiple third party “NY 23″ races in 2010 across the coutnry, it will lose big time to democrats. republicans will become demoralized by 2010 debacle, and tea baggers will finally be marginalized as fringe who destroyed republicans.
9 johnmarzan // Nov 4, 2009 at 1:26 am
great, now dems can use NY 23 race to convince wavering dems to back obama’s massive health care overhaul.
GOP can use this to scare conservatives against splitting the party in 2.
10 balconesfault // Nov 4, 2009 at 1:48 am
you can put whatever poll you want, but if this were 2008 with the same candidates, democrats keep VA and NJ.
Possibly true – have to look at the breakdowns. Certainly the additional new voters who came out to the polls to elect Obama could have had an impact.
Also, in Virginia, Deeds didn’t really give Dems much reason to turn out for him. In recent months he came out both against cap-and-trade, and against the public option. I don’t see why McDonnell won’t be as good a Governor as Deeds may have been.
great, now dems can use NY 23 race to convince wavering dems to back obama’s massive health care overhaul.
I suspect that when Scozza resigned, a message probably came through for many – even if you are dissatisfied by Pelosi and Reid and even Obama … there is no home for you in the Republican Party.
That certainly gives them incentive to make up with the base before 2010 rolls around and they need some fundraising.
11 rbottoms // Nov 4, 2009 at 6:13 am
Ya damn skippy.
12 Independent // Nov 4, 2009 at 8:21 am
balcones’ shooting blanks: “I suspect that when Scozza resigned, a message probably came through for many – even if you are dissatisfied by Pelosi and Reid and even Obama … there is no home for you in the Republican Party”.
i love the hardcore democrats here trying to tell all of us what republicans thought; is that part of the definition of a frumforum troll?
as an independent, here’s what i heard at the celebration in NJ. when gov-elect chris christie was thanking the few core people who made his campaign a winning campaign, he thanked former gov tom kean and former gov christy todd whitman –2 republican rinos of the 80s. any message that moderate republicans might glean from NY23rd or from highly suspect partisan trolls like balcones and rbottoms is muted, blunted and destroyed by the truth.
i’d think that rather than try to spin some insincere advice, these democrat trolls might want to spend some time reflecting on why independents broke 2:1 for christie over corzine in spite of democrats spending over $45m to keep the seat a D.
even if you are the president, you can’t try repeatedly selling a rotten corpse to the masses and not smell of the stench in the morning. the fallout has already started and that’s why harry reid is saying “not yet” to the president’s #1 legislative agenda: health care reform.
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