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Obama Threatens to Break 2008 Promise Not to Raise Taxes on Families

September 21st, 2009 at 10:06 am David Frum | 25 Comments |

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The liveliest topic on the Sunday shows: George Stephanopoulos’ tussle with President Obama over the question whether a health insurance mandate counts as a tax. It’s a fascinating definitional issue. On the one hand, the mandate is compulsory and substantially costly, which is tax-like, but it is not paid to the government. Because President Obama pledged during the 2008 campaign not to raise taxes on families earning less than $250,000, the mandate-tax issue offers a gratifying opportunity to trip him up.

That would be good sport. But question – sport aside, should Republicans oppose an individual mandate as a policy matter? (Actually not all Republicans do – the Healthy Americans Act sponsored by Utah Sen. Robert Bennett contains such a mandate.) There are two grounds for opposition: (1) the libertarian principle that people should not be required to do what they do not wish to do, and (2) the pragmatic concern that any mandate will likely imply higher subsidies to those Americans who cannot afford to pay the cost the law imposes on them.

As to (1), that battle was lost back in the 1980s, when hospitals were required to treat all comers, insured or not. It’s not very libertarian to say that you have a right to eat all you want at the buffet, but no duty to pay the bill.

However, (2) is very concerning. The costs of subsidy were the main deterrent to a Republican healthcare reform in the years 2001-2007, when we held our majorities in Congress. Even Sen. Bennett’s plan, deficit neutral over 10 years, showed heavy costs to the Treasury in the early years. With budget deficits already gaping, Republicans preferred to avoid another big immediate expense. On the other hand, it’s not like we are not spending a lot of public money now. Medicare plus Medicaid plus veterans and Indian programs already cost more than $800 billion annually. Add the value of the exclusion from tax of employer-provided insurance, and healthcare costs the Treasury $1 trillion, not all of it spent in the most intelligent way. A mandate plus subsidies in the context of reforms aimed at cost control could well fulfill Sen Bennett’s hopes to save money in the long term. This is not the issue where Republicans should be fighting in the last ditch.

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25 Comments so far ↓

  • sinz54

    The libertarian issue is whether young people, who as a cohort are the healthiest in the nation, should be required to pay premiums to foot the bill for us older folks who are chronically sick.

    This is a major philosophical issue of social contract.

    To me, the answer is YES, for the same reason that Social Security is a pay-as-you-go system in which workers’ payroll taxes pay for the retirement of the seniors.

    Namely, that this is how society has corrected a systemic wrong–that young Americans no longer feel any obligation to help pay for their parents’ and grandparents’ care.

    In the 19th century, we had extended families where grandparents lived in the same home as the parents and the kids. And it was a given that when grandma got sick, the rest of the family helped care for grandma.

    When that got replaced by the nuclear family, we needed Social Security to get young people to pay for their grandparents.

    And the mandate that everyone must purchase insurance is similar. Today’s young people will pay for the health care of older folks like me. And in 40 years, when today’s young people have gotten old, the next generation will pay for them. And so on.

  • EscapeVelocity

    The key is to have a social contract that doesnt bankrupt everyone or turn them into paupers of state servitude, or discourage entrepaneurship and hard work.

  • EscapeVelocity

    To me if you are going to have IM, then you should ditch Medicare, Medicaid, and any other non Military healthcare service or funding and go all in on one system. No need for extra complications and expense.

    Everybody is in, and the government subsidizes the poor.

  • joemarier

    Well, it’s not like they don’t send you a bill if you show up at the emergency room without insurance…

  • cpanza

    Unfortunately, I would assume that most people who get a bill for showing up to the ER without insurance can’t pay it, given that most of them can’t afford health insurance in the first place, and that’s why they are in the ER without insurance.

  • balconesfault

    escapevelocity To me if you are going to have IM, then you should ditch Medicare, Medicaid, and any other non Military healthcare service or funding and go all in on one system. No need for extra complications and expense.

    Everybody is in, and the government subsidizes the poor.

    That is the most rational thing I’ve ever read from escapevelocity.

    Wholeheartedly in agreement here.

    joemarier Well, it’s not like they don’t send you a bill if you show up at the emergency room without insurance…

    A major reason why medical bills prompt more than 60 percent of U.S. bankruptcies.

  • EscapeVelocity

    Well, before you go praising me too much, I dont mean a single payer government system.

    I mean a well regulated market.

  • sinz54

    cpanza: Unfortunately, I would assume that most people who get a bill for showing up to the ER without insurance can’t pay it, given that most of them can’t afford health insurance in the first place, and that’s why they are in the ER without insurance.
    Most major hospitals have a charity-type fund to help pay the catastrophic health care costs of those patients who show up there without insurance. But that treats emergencies requiring a visit to the E.R. (like an asthma attack), not continuing care by private care physicians and the specialists they refer the patients to for regular screening tests.

    What studies have shown is that those without insurance simply go to doctors less often, and try to live with health care complaints.

  • joemarier

    Sometimes the doctors will take the hit on the services provided, too. I thought this editorial from a EP trade magazine was somewhat interesting.

    http://www.epmonthly.com/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=542&Itemid=91

  • balconesfault

    Well, before you go praising me too much, I dont mean a single payer government system.

    I mean a well regulated market.

    Perhaps. But if we did what you said, ditching Medicare, it would be one of the fastest pathways to a single payer system. The fastest would have been McCain’s proposal – eliminating the corporate tax deduction for employer provided healthcare.

  • joemarier

    Would allowing cross-purchasing of health care policies across state lines get a single payer system, too? Would everyone eventually have one insurance company, based out of Delaware?

  • EscapeVelocity

    Eliminating the business tax deduction for health insurance bennies would do no such thing. Health insurance bennies are better than money at attracting good employees.

    Its all pure conjecture because no one is going to touch Medicare….even the current proposals with Medigap subsidies being removed has the elder voters up in arms.

  • ottovbvs

    Is a mandate to purchase car insurance a tax hike?…..of course not…..and neither is a mandate to purchase health insurance from a health insurer…….there are no “definitional” issues involved…….there may be compulsion issues but that’s an entirely different matter

  • ottovbvs

    “And the mandate that everyone must purchase insurance is similar. Today’s young people will pay for the health care of older folks like me. And in 40 years, when today’s young people have gotten old, the next generation will pay for them. And so on.”

    ……..Rather in the same way I’m subsidizing the car crashes of teenage girls…….that’s how insurance works

  • balconesfault

    Its all pure conjecture because no one is going to touch Medicare….

    Especially since Republicans have shown they will politic Medicare just as shamelessly has Democrats have in the past when it serves their purposes.

    Why be serious about the long term impacts to our budget of Medicare, when you can mobilize tens of thousands of senior citizens to show up at rallies to scream against your opponent just by saying something cynical like “death panels”?

  • SpartacusIsNotDead

    Otto, it’s good to see you back.

  • sinz54

    joemarier: Would allowing cross-purchasing of health care policies across state lines get a single payer system, too? Would everyone eventually have one insurance company, based out of Delaware?

    We wouldn’t have just one, but we wouldn’t have many either.

    It would be similar to credit cards, where there are a handful: MC, Visa, American Express, Discover.

    The smaller regional HMOs couldn’t provide a national network of doctors and would go out of business.

    But Blue Cross and Aetna and Kaiser would still be around.

  • balconesfault

    And good luck taking on massive entities like Blue Cross or Aetna or Kaiser over a denial of coverage issue after tort reform is passed, and they guarantee that any losing litigant will be presented with a multi-million dollar bill for the corporate defense attorneys who the insurance companies will bring to the table.

  • Jim

    ottobvs wrote:

    “Is a mandate to purchase car insurance a tax hike?…..of course not…..”

    Umm, yeah it is. If I get a bill next month that I didn’t get this month, its a tax hike. I don’t care about the semantics, I DONT HAVE THE MONEY, GET IT???

  • cpanza

    sinz54 :

    I’m not sure in what way quoting me and then responding was meant to correct anything I’d said. I was suggesting that people who show up in the ER without insurance generally can’t pay the bill, so sending them the bill is somewhat futile. If hospitals have charity-funds set up for some of these cases, that’s great, but that doesn’t change the fact that the patient him/herself is unable to pay.

  • cpanza

    David Frum:

    I’m not sure if you write your headlines for your posts, but are you saying that the mandate fee IS a tax? Your headline suggests that it is, but your text does not. You say:

    “It’s a fascinating definitional issue. On the one hand, the mandate is compulsory and substantially costly, which is tax-like, but it is not paid to the government. Because President Obama pledged during the 2008 campaign not to raise taxes on families earning less than $250,000, the mandate-tax issue offers a gratifying opportunity to trip him up.”

    Something being “tax-like” and “not paid to the government” doesn’t sound much like a tax to me.

    Which is it, in your view?

  • balconesfault

    If I get a bill next month that I didn’t get this month, its a tax hike. I don’t care about the semantics, I DONT HAVE THE MONEY, GET IT???

    Umm – no. You don’t pay taxes to an insurance company.

    At least yet. A little more Bush Corporatism, and we might have been there. But not yet.

  • greg_barton

    No, balconesfault, you just don’t get it. Paying your life savings to a corporation is GOOD. The market is GOOD, so throwing all of your money into it on a wing and a prayer is GOOD. Because, as we’ve seen for the past year, always trusting the market is GOOD.

  • oldgal

    If one uses Webster’s definition of tax, then it could be inferred that insurance is a tax.

  • Kevin B

    The New Oxford American dictionary allows one to infer that insurance is not a tax. So using dictionary definitions will only help to convince those who already agree with you (on either side).

    And stretching a definition so that it means what you want it to mean is … Clintonian.

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