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If Government is Wiped Out, Who Gets to be Pres?

July 29th, 2009 at 3:12 pm Tim Mak | 5 Comments |

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The scene is catastrophic: terrorists have released dangerous biological agents at strategic points around the capital. The White House is caught off-guard, and the President and Vice-President are incapacitated. Key members of the Cabinet and Congress are stricken with a strange illness and lie comatose. The casualties are immense, and as the confusion worsens, word reaches the news networks that the President and Vice-President are dead. In this nightmarish circumstance, what becomes of the American government? Ongoing threats exist, and action is imminently required – if those in the existing line of succession are all deceased, who becomes the President? Presidential Succession, a report released earlier this month by the Continuity of Government Commission, addresses just these sorts of questions.

The report invites the reader to picture several sets of bizarre but conceivable circumstances: four surviving House members forming quorum and electing a Speaker who is elevated to the presidency; Governors appointing Senators to an empty Senate, who in turn pick from amongst themselves a Senate pro tempore; one scenario even has the Deputy Secretary of State becoming President. But the Report is meant to impart more than just an action-movie experience – the Commission also points out flaws with the rules concerning presidential succession and proposes ways to fix them.

For one thing, the authors note that every member of the line of succession lives in Washington, D.C. If a terrorist attack were to decimate the city, those in line for the Presidency could all be wiped out, leaving only chaos at the helm.

In addition, the report criticises the inclusion of the legislative branch in the line of succession, which they claim could lead to dramatic reconfigurations of the American government. Imagine Speaker Newt Gingrich ascending to the Presidency if President Clinton and Vice-President Gore were incapacitated, or if President Reagan and Vice-President Bush were to be succeeded by a President Tip O’Neil. As the authors of the report suggest, a political zealot could seek to change the party in control of the executive branch with just one attack.

Moreover, one must wonder whether the President pro tempore, usually a person of considerable age, should be in the line of succession. After all, it is hard to imagine that Sen. Strom Thurmond, who served as the President pro tempore at the age of ninety-eight, would be able to competently handle the rigours that come with the office of the President.

Also at issue is the House Speaker’s inherent conflict of interest. After all, the Speaker presides over any move to impeach the President and holds great sway over the confirmation of a Vice-President. This could lead to sticky situations if a conniving Speaker were to try to manoeuvre him or herself into the Oval Office. For example, when the Vice-Presidency lay open in 1973 and Nixon’s impeachment loomed, House Speaker Carl Albert was next in line to the Presidency. At this time, some speculated that the Speaker might delay Gerald Ford’s confirmation in order to take the White House for himself.

So what should be done? The report’s prescriptions are simple yet innovative – to remove members of the legislative branch from the line of succession and reorder it to: Vice-President, Secretary of State, Secretary of Treasury, Secretary of Defense, and Attorney General, followed by four or five former high government officials living outside of Washington, D.C. that would be appointed by the President and confirmed by the Senate.

The situations imagined by the Commission are truly horrific, but their recommendations are pressing. Should the Commission’s worst fears ever bleed into reality, the United States would be substantially more secure if these suggestions were adopted. In the moments when the United States is particularly vulnerable, the nation’s government needs to be protected by clear and proper rules for Presidential succession.

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5 Comments so far ↓

  • Bulldoglover100

    Grow up. This is why we make no headway. Scare tactics and fear mongering. We are all stuck with Obama and we will probably be stuck for another term…I mean heck if Bush can get elected twice? Obama is a shoe in and we better start using our brains for something other than a hat rack. If we continue this childish drivel instead of coming up with agendas and plans for the future we may just be stuck for an even longer period of time.

  • esurience

    Bulldoglover100,
    Dealing with unpleasant situations and planning for unpleasant scenarios _is_ what adults do.
    This is a serious issue, and it has yet to be dealt with even 8 years after 9/11. It has nothing to do with Obama. I don’t see why you’re making reference to him in your comment. I don’t think this article is suggesting a political strategy to get back in power. It is, however, talking about _good governance_. Good governance means doing the right thing even when you don’t immediately score political points for it. Over time, of course, good governance creates an impression of competence, which is what Republicans need.

  • aDude

    Actually, this is a good topic for discussion. During the Bush years, Cheney believed that the Succession Act was unconstitutional, to the point where when they did disaster planning they didn’t involve the Speaker or President Pro Tem at all. (This was even before the 2006 elections).

    I’m not sure I like this specific proposal, though. I would put the governors in the line of succession. They are elected, spread all over the country, and have executive experience. And I remember Sam Rayburn’s line about the supposed brainpower of the Kennedy cabinet – “I would feel better if at least one of them had been elected dog catcher somewhere”

  • sinz54

    It’s highly unlikely that everybody in the Presidential Line of Succession can be threatened simultaneously. At least one is kept in a secure location at all times.

    A more serious issue, however, is what would happen if terrorists killed many of our Senators and Representatives. (This could have happened on 9-11. The Capitol may have been the target of the fourth plane, United 93–but those brave passengers thwarted the terrorists who had commandeered it.)

    The 17th Amendment gives the governors of the fifty states the power to appoint replacements for Senators who are killed. But there is NO Constitutional mechanism to appoint replacements for Representatives–a loophole in the Constitution that we didn’t think much about till 9-11.

    One solution is to allow governors to appoint replacements for Representatives as well as Senators. But our Founding Fathers intended the Representatives to be closely representative of their districts; governors aren’t. The alternative would be to have special elections as quickly as possible, so the people could vote on new Representatives.

    Any of these solutions would require a Constitutional Amendment.

    So right now, the House of Representatives is a vulnerable terrorist target. Kill most of the Representatives, and you would effectively decapitate the government till the next election.

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