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	<title>Comments on: GOP Missing in Action on Health Reform</title>
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	<description>Building a conservatism that can win again</description>
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		<title>By: race42008.com &#187; Blog Archive &#187; The Party of “No, But Here’s A Better Idea”</title>
		<link>http://www.frumforum.com/gop-missing-in-action-on-health-reform/comment-page-5#comment-78793</link>
		<dc:creator>race42008.com &#187; Blog Archive &#187; The Party of “No, But Here’s A Better Idea”</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 04 Jan 2010 13:48:03 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.frumforum.com/?p=16413#comment-78793</guid>
		<description>[...] on the Democratic health care reform bill in the Senate. They should have offered amendments, yes, as Frum has said- but they have a responsibility to stop the bill first and foremost. That is what the minority is [...]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...] on the Democratic health care reform bill in the Senate. They should have offered amendments, yes, as Frum has said- but they have a responsibility to stop the bill first and foremost. That is what the minority is [...]</p>
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		<title>By: The Party of “No, But Here’s A Better Idea” &#124; thelobbyist</title>
		<link>http://www.frumforum.com/gop-missing-in-action-on-health-reform/comment-page-5#comment-78792</link>
		<dc:creator>The Party of “No, But Here’s A Better Idea” &#124; thelobbyist</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 04 Jan 2010 13:36:22 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.frumforum.com/?p=16413#comment-78792</guid>
		<description>[...] on the Democratic health care reform bill in the Senate. They should have offered amendments, yes, as Frum has said- but they have a responsibility to stop the bill first and foremost. That is what the minority is [...]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...] on the Democratic health care reform bill in the Senate. They should have offered amendments, yes, as Frum has said- but they have a responsibility to stop the bill first and foremost. That is what the minority is [...]</p>
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		<title>By: balconesfault</title>
		<link>http://www.frumforum.com/gop-missing-in-action-on-health-reform/comment-page-5#comment-73891</link>
		<dc:creator>balconesfault</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 24 Nov 2009 04:47:59 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.frumforum.com/?p=16413#comment-73891</guid>
		<description>JonF - the problem is that in the absence of comprehensive health databases, and medical privacy laws that don&#039;t have a corollary to driving records, insurance companies &quot;due diligence&quot; involves asking the insured to report any pre-existing conditions.

And if someone does not have a perfect memory for everything that was ever recorded on one of his medical charts ... he is liable for later denial of claim based on pre-existing conditions that were not fully disclosed.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>JonF &#8211; the problem is that in the absence of comprehensive health databases, and medical privacy laws that don&#8217;t have a corollary to driving records, insurance companies &#8220;due diligence&#8221; involves asking the insured to report any pre-existing conditions.</p>
<p>And if someone does not have a perfect memory for everything that was ever recorded on one of his medical charts &#8230; he is liable for later denial of claim based on pre-existing conditions that were not fully disclosed.</p>
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		<title>By: JonF</title>
		<link>http://www.frumforum.com/gop-missing-in-action-on-health-reform/comment-page-5#comment-73864</link>
		<dc:creator>JonF</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 24 Nov 2009 02:37:05 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.frumforum.com/?p=16413#comment-73864</guid>
		<description>Re: What I’ve heard some of my fellow conservatives advocating is to ban recession and pre-existing exclusions

Well, I wish we could ban &quot;recession&quot;. (Sorry, couldn&#039;t resist). But we could get rid of the current practice of recission easily enough; in fact it&#039;s already illegal, it&#039;s just that the law in question has no teeth (though judges are usually quite displeased when cases involving recissons come to court and the insurers get the book thrown at them. Problem is, too many sick people do not have the resources for such a fight). Any insurance company writing an individual policy should simply have to do its homework up front to check into the subscriber&#039;s pre-existing conditions. In today&#039;s digitalized world this should be easy. Auto insurers do this; how many drivers have their policies rescinded after they have an accident? This doesn&#039;t happen because the companies check driving records when they issue policies. And health insurance companies even have their own database where they store patient info for this precise purpose. So let them do their due diligence and then, if they issue a policy, they should be required to honor it (absent court-worthy evidence of actual fraud). I can think of no other business that is allowed to renegue on its contracts in such a manner, outside a bankruptcy court. Any health insurer that does so should not just have the book thrown at them, but the whole dang law library.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Re: What I’ve heard some of my fellow conservatives advocating is to ban recession and pre-existing exclusions</p>
<p>Well, I wish we could ban &#8220;recession&#8221;. (Sorry, couldn&#8217;t resist). But we could get rid of the current practice of recission easily enough; in fact it&#8217;s already illegal, it&#8217;s just that the law in question has no teeth (though judges are usually quite displeased when cases involving recissons come to court and the insurers get the book thrown at them. Problem is, too many sick people do not have the resources for such a fight). Any insurance company writing an individual policy should simply have to do its homework up front to check into the subscriber&#8217;s pre-existing conditions. In today&#8217;s digitalized world this should be easy. Auto insurers do this; how many drivers have their policies rescinded after they have an accident? This doesn&#8217;t happen because the companies check driving records when they issue policies. And health insurance companies even have their own database where they store patient info for this precise purpose. So let them do their due diligence and then, if they issue a policy, they should be required to honor it (absent court-worthy evidence of actual fraud). I can think of no other business that is allowed to renegue on its contracts in such a manner, outside a bankruptcy court. Any health insurer that does so should not just have the book thrown at them, but the whole dang law library.</p>
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		<title>By: ottovbvs</title>
		<link>http://www.frumforum.com/gop-missing-in-action-on-health-reform/comment-page-4#comment-73735</link>
		<dc:creator>ottovbvs</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 23 Nov 2009 20:31:51 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.frumforum.com/?p=16413#comment-73735</guid>
		<description>balconesfault // Nov 23, 2009 at 11:38 am 

.......Exposing this guys ignorance has its own satisfactions I suppose.......a bit like sds&#039;s.....but is it worth the effort.......their vacuity is so enormous</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>balconesfault // Nov 23, 2009 at 11:38 am </p>
<p>&#8230;&#8230;.Exposing this guys ignorance has its own satisfactions I suppose&#8230;&#8230;.a bit like sds&#8217;s&#8230;..but is it worth the effort&#8230;&#8230;.their vacuity is so enormous</p>
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		<title>By: ottovbvs</title>
		<link>http://www.frumforum.com/gop-missing-in-action-on-health-reform/comment-page-4#comment-73731</link>
		<dc:creator>ottovbvs</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 23 Nov 2009 20:25:47 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.frumforum.com/?p=16413#comment-73731</guid>
		<description>sdspringy // Nov 23, 2009 at 6:44 am 

&quot;Otto brings forth the European model as an example of the proper application of Liberal or in Europes case social medicine.
The fact however those models of medical wonder are broke. Pick the country in Europe and they are struggling to cover the cost. &quot;

.........Actually they are not broke........there&#039;s a mix of pure socialized systems, hybrid private/socialized systems and private systems..... none of them cost more than 60% of what we&#039;re spending and in most respects like infant mortality, life expectancy etc they produce superior outcomes to the US system which is bankrupting the country and rendering large tracts of our manufacturing industry uncompetitive.......the OECD ranks the US healthcare system 37th in effectiveness......your ignorance of even the most basic facts about healthcare comparators is let&#039;s say startling</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>sdspringy // Nov 23, 2009 at 6:44 am </p>
<p>&#8220;Otto brings forth the European model as an example of the proper application of Liberal or in Europes case social medicine.<br />
The fact however those models of medical wonder are broke. Pick the country in Europe and they are struggling to cover the cost. &#8221;</p>
<p>&#8230;&#8230;&#8230;Actually they are not broke&#8230;&#8230;..there&#8217;s a mix of pure socialized systems, hybrid private/socialized systems and private systems&#8230;.. none of them cost more than 60% of what we&#8217;re spending and in most respects like infant mortality, life expectancy etc they produce superior outcomes to the US system which is bankrupting the country and rendering large tracts of our manufacturing industry uncompetitive&#8230;&#8230;.the OECD ranks the US healthcare system 37th in effectiveness&#8230;&#8230;your ignorance of even the most basic facts about healthcare comparators is let&#8217;s say startling</p>
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		<title>By: balconesfault</title>
		<link>http://www.frumforum.com/gop-missing-in-action-on-health-reform/comment-page-4#comment-73692</link>
		<dc:creator>balconesfault</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 23 Nov 2009 18:44:37 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.frumforum.com/?p=16413#comment-73692</guid>
		<description>BTW, using the &quot;McCain 443K&quot; methodology, had last year&#039;s Detroit Lions had 32 of their opponents points turn into points for them instead ... instead of being 0-16 they&#039;d have ended up in a 3-way tie with Minnesota and Chicago for the NFC North title, and by the tiebreaker formulas they&#039;d have made the playoffs.

Isn&#039;t math fun?  Irrelevant, but fun!</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>BTW, using the &#8220;McCain 443K&#8221; methodology, had last year&#8217;s Detroit Lions had 32 of their opponents points turn into points for them instead &#8230; instead of being 0-16 they&#8217;d have ended up in a 3-way tie with Minnesota and Chicago for the NFC North title, and by the tiebreaker formulas they&#8217;d have made the playoffs.</p>
<p>Isn&#8217;t math fun?  Irrelevant, but fun!</p>
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		<title>By: cpanza</title>
		<link>http://www.frumforum.com/gop-missing-in-action-on-health-reform/comment-page-4#comment-73687</link>
		<dc:creator>cpanza</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 23 Nov 2009 18:26:26 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.frumforum.com/?p=16413#comment-73687</guid>
		<description>The current plan isn&#039;t aiming at reproducing the Canadian system.

But even with that said, I&#039;m also curious what the Canadian comparison is, with respect to polls. If Americans are X% satisfied with their health care plan, what % of Canadians are? Also, if Americans are X% satisfied, what percentage of those polled had interactions with the system that went beyond routine to minimally serious illness? Similarly for Canadians? What percentage of Americans are satisfied with their health care system as a whole (beyond their plan)? What percentage of Canadians are? 

I don&#039;t know the answers to these questions. But if we&#039;re going to whip out polls, we need to ask difficult questions and put poll questions and answers into serious context.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The current plan isn&#8217;t aiming at reproducing the Canadian system.</p>
<p>But even with that said, I&#8217;m also curious what the Canadian comparison is, with respect to polls. If Americans are X% satisfied with their health care plan, what % of Canadians are? Also, if Americans are X% satisfied, what percentage of those polled had interactions with the system that went beyond routine to minimally serious illness? Similarly for Canadians? What percentage of Americans are satisfied with their health care system as a whole (beyond their plan)? What percentage of Canadians are? </p>
<p>I don&#8217;t know the answers to these questions. But if we&#8217;re going to whip out polls, we need to ask difficult questions and put poll questions and answers into serious context.</p>
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		<title>By: cpanza</title>
		<link>http://www.frumforum.com/gop-missing-in-action-on-health-reform/comment-page-4#comment-73680</link>
		<dc:creator>cpanza</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 23 Nov 2009 18:00:46 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.frumforum.com/?p=16413#comment-73680</guid>
		<description>&quot;Of course, if the country is close by like Canada and Mexico, that high per capita rate isn’t important as they flee to America for emergency medical care they can’t get back home.&quot;

What percentage of Canadians do this? And of the ones that do, what demographic do they fit into?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&#8220;Of course, if the country is close by like Canada and Mexico, that high per capita rate isn’t important as they flee to America for emergency medical care they can’t get back home.&#8221;</p>
<p>What percentage of Canadians do this? And of the ones that do, what demographic do they fit into?</p>
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		<title>By: balconesfault</title>
		<link>http://www.frumforum.com/gop-missing-in-action-on-health-reform/comment-page-4#comment-73665</link>
		<dc:creator>balconesfault</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 23 Nov 2009 16:38:11 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.frumforum.com/?p=16413#comment-73665</guid>
		<description>&lt;b&gt;Nope, we’ve nailed that canard shut. Even Balconesfault couldn’t spin his way out of the simple truth that a pro-Democrat MichStateUniver prof did an analysis of the 08 election and found that if just 443K voters had moved toward McCain, it would now be President McCain and Vice President Palin.&lt;/b&gt;

Ahh - I see a claim shift here.  Originally you wrote:  &quot;if McCain had picked up less than 443k more votes&quot; ... now you say &quot;if just 443K voters had moved toward McCain&quot;.  Those are two different things, aren&#039;t they?

But here&#039;s the table I presented before:

&lt;i&gt;McCain needed to flip 97 electoral votes.

Here’s the numbers for states where Obama won by less than 443k votes – I invite anyone to play with this and come up with a 443k additional vote for McCain that gets him 93 electoral votes.
Wisconsin 10 -414,818
Connecticut 7 -368,344
Oregon 7 -298,816
Minnesota 10 -297,945
Ohio 20 -262,224
Florida 27 -236,450
Virginia 13 -234,527
DC 3 -228,433
Colorado 9 -214,987
Hawaii 4 -205,305
Iowa 7 -146,561
Rhode Island 4 -131,180
Maine 2 -126,650
New Mexico 5 -125,590
Nevada 5 -120,909
Vermont 3 -120,288
Delaware 3 -103,085
New Hampshire 4 -68,292
Indiana 11 -28,391
North Carolina 15 -14,177
NE 2nd Dist. 1 -3,313&lt;/i&gt;

I still can&#039;t get the math to work exactly, but it&#039;s closer (I can make it work with about a 475K vote flip from Obama to McCain.

But for perspective - if you flip 432K McCain voters to Obama, Obama could pick up Missouri, Montana, ND, SD, WVA, Idaho, South Carolina, and Georgia ... giving him a 423-115 electoral win.

So if we take somewhere around 450K as a potential variance - maybe 450K Obama voters flip to McCain, maybe 450K McCain voters flip to Obama - we can construct error bars for the electoral results.

Those error bars are bounded by a 270-268 McCain victory at one end ... and a 423-115 Obama victory at the other.

This is an exercise that can be performed historically, as well.  For example, in the 1980 election, had Jimmy Carter gotten 730K of Reagan&#039;s votes, Carter would have won the election.  Does that mean anything?  Not really ...</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><b>Nope, we’ve nailed that canard shut. Even Balconesfault couldn’t spin his way out of the simple truth that a pro-Democrat MichStateUniver prof did an analysis of the 08 election and found that if just 443K voters had moved toward McCain, it would now be President McCain and Vice President Palin.</b></p>
<p>Ahh &#8211; I see a claim shift here.  Originally you wrote:  &#8220;if McCain had picked up less than 443k more votes&#8221; &#8230; now you say &#8220;if just 443K voters had moved toward McCain&#8221;.  Those are two different things, aren&#8217;t they?</p>
<p>But here&#8217;s the table I presented before:</p>
<p><i>McCain needed to flip 97 electoral votes.</p>
<p>Here’s the numbers for states where Obama won by less than 443k votes – I invite anyone to play with this and come up with a 443k additional vote for McCain that gets him 93 electoral votes.<br />
Wisconsin 10 -414,818<br />
Connecticut 7 -368,344<br />
Oregon 7 -298,816<br />
Minnesota 10 -297,945<br />
Ohio 20 -262,224<br />
Florida 27 -236,450<br />
Virginia 13 -234,527<br />
DC 3 -228,433<br />
Colorado 9 -214,987<br />
Hawaii 4 -205,305<br />
Iowa 7 -146,561<br />
Rhode Island 4 -131,180<br />
Maine 2 -126,650<br />
New Mexico 5 -125,590<br />
Nevada 5 -120,909<br />
Vermont 3 -120,288<br />
Delaware 3 -103,085<br />
New Hampshire 4 -68,292<br />
Indiana 11 -28,391<br />
North Carolina 15 -14,177<br />
NE 2nd Dist. 1 -3,313</i></p>
<p>I still can&#8217;t get the math to work exactly, but it&#8217;s closer (I can make it work with about a 475K vote flip from Obama to McCain.</p>
<p>But for perspective &#8211; if you flip 432K McCain voters to Obama, Obama could pick up Missouri, Montana, ND, SD, WVA, Idaho, South Carolina, and Georgia &#8230; giving him a 423-115 electoral win.</p>
<p>So if we take somewhere around 450K as a potential variance &#8211; maybe 450K Obama voters flip to McCain, maybe 450K McCain voters flip to Obama &#8211; we can construct error bars for the electoral results.</p>
<p>Those error bars are bounded by a 270-268 McCain victory at one end &#8230; and a 423-115 Obama victory at the other.</p>
<p>This is an exercise that can be performed historically, as well.  For example, in the 1980 election, had Jimmy Carter gotten 730K of Reagan&#8217;s votes, Carter would have won the election.  Does that mean anything?  Not really &#8230;</p>
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