http://www.frumforum.com/election-forecast-split-tickets-benefit-dems Building a conservatism that can win again Sat, 11 Feb 2012 17:50:44 +0000 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.9.2 hourly 1 http://www.frumforum.com/election-forecast-split-tickets-benefit-dems/comment-page-1#comment-70152 Demosthenes Thu, 29 Oct 2009 17:17:06 +0000 http://www.newmajority.com/?p=14523#comment-70152 Your analysis is spot on, and shows the unique nature of elections, with local issues and the candidates far more important than anything else. Your analysis is spot on, and shows the unique nature of elections, with local issues and the candidates far more important than anything else.

]]> http://www.frumforum.com/election-forecast-split-tickets-benefit-dems/comment-page-1#comment-70101 ottovbvs Thu, 29 Oct 2009 14:04:34 +0000 http://www.newmajority.com/?p=14523#comment-70101 Basically my takeaway. I don't know too much about VA so I'll accept your description. NJ is a funny one. If I had a free meal for every candidate for governor of NJ who has run promising to clean up corruption I'd never need to pick up another restaurant tab. Corzine has made valiant efforts to combat NJ's problems (it's heavily dependant on the NYC economy) and he's certainly not corrupt himself, but he's made only limited headway against entrenched interests in the state. Daggett would certainly do no better btw, probably worse. In NY 23 it's really too hard to call. The Democrat might slip through but even if he doesn't and one of the Republicans wins (most likely Hoffmann) it's a win for the democrats because of amount of wreckage it will leave behind in the GOP. And if it's Hoffman they get the added bonus of another certifiably loopy Republican added to the Bachmann types in their house caucus. Basically my takeaway. I don’t know too much about VA so I’ll accept your description. NJ is a funny one. If I had a free meal for every candidate for governor of NJ who has run promising to clean up corruption I’d never need to pick up another restaurant tab. Corzine has made valiant efforts to combat NJ’s problems (it’s heavily dependant on the NYC economy) and he’s certainly not corrupt himself, but he’s made only limited headway against entrenched interests in the state. Daggett would certainly do no better btw, probably worse. In NY 23 it’s really too hard to call. The Democrat might slip through but even if he doesn’t and one of the Republicans wins (most likely Hoffmann) it’s a win for the democrats because of amount of wreckage it will leave behind in the GOP. And if it’s Hoffman they get the added bonus of another certifiably loopy Republican added to the Bachmann types in their house caucus.

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