John Vecchioine makes some excellent points in his article predicting next week’s election results. I agree with him on McDonnell and Cuccinelli — and will go even further to say that Ken Cuccinelli will win the governorship in 2013, so long as McDonnell is successful in covering more of Northern Virginia with much-needed asphalt. As to Bill Bolling, running for a second term as lieutenant governor, I’m inclined to agree, but this could be a surprise. Republicans really need to step up the Bolling effort in the next few days.
I hesitate to comment on New Jersey politics, but my sense is that Christie will lose unless he wins a spectacular air war over the weekend. I’m doubtful — another case of just coming close in New Jersey.
On the race for New York’s 23rd congressional district, John is right — Doug Hoffman will win, and be a victim of redistricting.
2 responses so far
1 midcon // Oct 29, 2009 at 10:56 am
Cucinelli’s fate in next election for governor is dependent upon McDonnells performance during his term as governor. If McDonnell performs (transportation, jobs, economy), then Cucinelli will benefit. If McDonnell does not perform Cucinelli has no chance.
2 DFL // Oct 29, 2009 at 2:38 pm
Bolling and Cuccinelli’s poll numbers have been very similar to McDonnell’s.
As for redistricting the New York 23rd, it is a very large district physically and isolated in the far north. Whoever wins the special and the 2010 election will be in a position of some strength when redistricting occurs in 2011, especially if Rudy Guiliani is elected governor in 2010 and Hoffman is the incumbent. Large chunks of the 23rd will go with the incumbent no matter what district it is attached to.
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